British 2yo Racing - 2015 Race Result :- 237 : Mon, June 29th

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2015 Season Race Result

Race 237 : Mon, June 29th
Wolverhampton 3:15, 7.1f Maiden (5)

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2015 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
STD	89.39 [Compare]	0	Link	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	LB	Run	Wnr	Shp	Trainer	Dw	Hf	LBL	Run Notes
1	Majdool	0.57	31.0	-	3	N		Roger Varian	5	2	0.5
2	Firesnake	22	19.0	6.0	3			T. G. Dascombe	12	3	1.5
3	Lagenda	33	15.0	8.0	2	M		K. A. Ryan	8	5	2.5	BOk Cent, NE STTR, 2R to CH 2Wd, SFre to BS H-1. 2R+2f 1Wd, Ngl to Bnd Resp, Dv-2f+, Whip-2f, po FrRL HS, Fd ins-0.5f, Mdm, 64?
4	Cabinet Room	18	11.0	10.0	1			J. Cecil	3	6	3.0
5	Desert River	66	10.8	10.1	3			I. M. S. Mohammed	2	1	-0.5	Eff-2f Hdd, Clear 2nd until Fd-0.5f, BTR
6	Primitivo	33	10.8	10.1	1	N		Alan King	11	7	3.5
7	Lefortovo	16	2.8	14.1	1			Joanna Hughes	7	10	6.7
8	Barabau	6	-13.2	22.1	1			M. Johnston	6	9	5.2	B-2 Cent, NE STTR, XB to CH 4R RL SResp, HActnF to BS, NglOv, Dv to Bnd SInx, Whip-1.5f+ ModResp, Asf to HS Thinking, Fd ins-1f HgL
9	Alakazam	22	-55.2	43.1	1			M. Prescott	9	11	8.0
10	Criminalistic	5.5	-79.2	55.1	3			C. Appleby	1	4	2.2
11	A Definite Diamond	66	-104.2	65.1	1			J. M. Bradley	4	8	5.0
WD	Cleverconversation							J. Chapple-Hyam	10			WD AP = Poor Att FTO, Ridden in Prelims, Fractious AP, Unst Jk when Blindfolded on 4th Offer, Refused Stalls, Bad Att

SUMMARY

=== Pre Race ===

Looking at Prescott's debuts to date you could make a case for the first 5 being the 'Early Batch' of competitive 2yos. The last two of that 5 won FTO and of the other 3 2 have run ok 2nds STO & the other was too stupid STO to improve. Let her see the plan before 3TO, Mark. 2 x debuts since (not much break) have finished 15th/15 & 14th/14 at longer SPs and presumably the start of Batch 2. Odd winners will apear from the later batches but rarely show the promise FTO. Alakazam has a pedigree where he could be a 12f+ set-up for 3yo. But, out very early to be that sort so inclined to think he will be up to winning a maiden 7f of 8f, at least, but probably underdone prep for FTO. Since the breeding is all Rausing/Lanwades presume Prescott had seen the yearling at the stud before he bought it?

With the season that MaJo is having with 2yos it can feel a bit uncomfortable dismissing one of his, or even thinking it cannot produce, a varyingly improbably, 10+ point Blossom. But, the picture of Barabau a real negative. The instinctive reaction being "look at the belly on that one". He's got to look like a short, trundly, fat bloke FTO, surely. Out of a(nother) famous racemare who has produced little in Darley hands. You look at some of the Juddmonte pedigrees with dams producing one Black Type winner after another (Hasili, Kind, etc, etc,) and there has to something to learn in why there has been this difference. Even if the reason is 'Randomness' looked at on too short a timescale. Stand further back.

Mind you, look at Cabinet Room's dam and a lot of her foals never made it to the racetrack and only 1 of 12 has run as a 2yo. Which makes CR's early 7f run interesting. Small, late foal having to run because of lack of size?

Breeze Video for Lefotovo seeming to show an slightly unusual setup. Looks notable short but with body length and uses the range he does has. Seems to flatten and stretch out within his frame. Solid build but shows a knee action and overall action a bit busy and not smooth. Strong short one in PRev and check whether the he can move his body ok, expecially around a bend here.

=== Post Race ===

[July 19th] Barabau ran like his picture looked in this race. Looking a bit heavy and laboured. But also seemed as if the greenness perhaps tipping over into laziness or bad attitude. Jk getting busy with the whip on the bend for little response. Interesting question over whether he will blossom STO or is a slow heavy one with a suspect attitude. Or will he turn up at RDCR STO looking a changed horse. Shiny coat, up-for-it & forward going attitude, muscles tight and rippling. No more getting sand kicked in his face. The way a number of MaJo horses have blossomed this season and others run above their their size.looks (Whitman?? & Welford? this week) makes you nervous to sugggest Barabau will still be uncompetitive. MaJo, at times, this season tipping into forcing someone to make 'different' bets then would normally be the case because the upper limit on where his horse will run to hard to extimate. Let's go with he will look better STO and a bit more willing but still a bit green and cumbersome and uncompetitive for the win. Then reassess him after seeing what progress he has made. Also reassess how MaJo's 'blossoming' powers are going.