British 2yo Racing - 2015 Race Result :- 395 : Thu, July 30th

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2015 Season Race Result

Race 395 : Thu, July 30th
Epsom 7:00, 7f Maiden (5)

2015 Season Home
2015 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
G	85 [Compare]	0	Link	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	LB	Run	Wnr	Shp	Trainer	Dw	Hf	LBL	Run Notes
1	Lorelina	28	15.0	-	1			A. M. Balding	5	6	3.7
2	Prince Of Arran	14	20.6	0.2	2			C. H. Fellowes	6	4	2.7	BkWL Wd, SFre+1f Hld, H-2+1.5f to 3R, 2R Bnd, Eff-2f+ Po ShgL Ov, Resp to Ln
3	Hyaline	2.75	12.6	4.2	3			M. Johnston	3	1	-1.5	Drift 9/4,
4	Goldenfield (p)	12	10.1	5.5	3			O. Stevens	2	5	3.0
5	Rockley	0.8	-23.9	22.4	2			C. Appleby	4	2	1.5	Supp 5/6, , SEnq = Trnr's Rep unable to explain the poor Run
6	Brave Archibald	8	-28.4	24.7	2	N		P. F. I. Cole	1	3	1.7

SUMMARY

G in early am from GSG on Decs. 33mm Rain Fri, 7mm Sunday.

Rail fully in.

=== Post Race ===

Race reads like a too Strong pace set by Hyaline & with Brave Archibald running too free. Hyaline has failed to see out shorter distances in previous races. With Rockley racing prominently & poorly that leaving a poorly defended race. See what VRev shows.

A counter argument would be that trainer Balding has a terrific record over 7f at thecourse. He has had 23 runners at the course since start 2006 only 2 have failed to make the first 3 with 7 wins. The early wins were 9/1 to 16/1 range and later ones 6/1 and under and seeming the Market had caught on to Balding's record here. The two non first runners were disappointing runs by ok types in 2014. Both of that pair have won at 3yo and, at some point & bogus or not, got rated OR80+. Suspect the 28/1 win a mix of the race falling apart a bit but also Lorelina being better than a homebred ridden by an A5 sounds and the SP 'wrong' to some extent in reflecting her ability.

[Aug 23rd] Looking just an Average Pace with Hyaline getting a comfortable lead and looking the likely winner untikl fading-0.5f. Lorelina & Prince Of Arran not really handling the camber in the HS and both offerring to hang left for much of it. Producing similar efforts and seeing the race out fully. POArran looking at least a god sized medium with length. Strong front. Should be ok for 75+.